THE BJP candidates for all the 60 Assembly constituencies were announced on January 30 and as predicted there were violent reactions at many places from supporters of strong aspiring candidates. The party head office and district offices were, however, spared due to massive deployment of security personnel. If such an arrangement were not made, the result would have been disastrous. This made one wonder why the Thambal Shanglen was allowed permission in a site just opposite the Raj Bhavan, a highly secured zone, especially political party office entails grouping of large number of people and even conflicts.
From the candidates, it can be surmised that the RSS was marginalised in ticket distribution. CM’s say seems to have carried more weight. Grapevine says that the delay is due to the conflict between the RSS and the party. On the other hand, despite claim that the BJP is different and is against dynastic politics allegations have been made, especially by some mandal members, that it is not so. While going through the list, it was very similar to the ones floated earlier in the social media which was denied by the party, indicating that the news was floated by someone in the know, perhaps with the ill conceived notion to soften the anger of those who were denied tickets.
The party spokespersons had time and again hinted that “winnability” is the most important criteria and taking this into account, many who had toiled for the party have been sidelined and new faces who had joined the party a few months or years have taken precedence; thereby causing serious heartburn. If the claimed number of members of the party is taken into consideration, almost all the seats in the valley can be won by the party. This is unlikely as many party members will not be supporting the official candidate as many have least interest in the party or politics but had joined due to cajoling from those members who wanted to be “active members”, by roping in 25 primary members.
One was a bit surprised when there are aspiring candidates in say Yaiskul or Andro where the claims of those given party tickets were very strong with one being a minister and other having ensured the formation and survival of the government. The conflict in Wangkhei between the BJP candidate and the sitting MLA is understandable but not the other. This indicates the naivety of many claimants on political matters. The announcement of Nishikanta in Keisamthong that he will contest as an independent seems a sagacious decision as his agenda is a bit different from others. Brinda of Yaiskul should have also gone solo rather than joining another party as her agenda is also different.
Serious aspiring candidates will have to contest either as independent or from other parties, lest he will be seen as indecisive and weak with no future in electoral politics. The JD (U), is becoming the “B” team, and got the maximum benefit and this party may have a few members in the coming Assembly. This party will be subject to manipulation as they are not only a part of the NDA but Nitish Kumar is the CM in Bihar due to the largesse of the BJP despite the fact that his party won much lesser seats than the BJP. NPP is also another party which benefitted and has the opportunity to increase its presence in the Assembly.
Despite claims that the BJP is a cadre based disciplined party and the aspiring candidates will support the official candidate; this was sheer wishful thinking and nothing more than bravado. There is hardly any difference with the other political party, despite hoarse claims on the contrary. In Manipur, voting is generally not on party line except for the committed party men, but on the candidates. The tendency though is to try to contest from the party which governs the Centre; a servile colonial mindset with a beggar’s mentality. This is common among almost all politicians and those joining the JD (U), Apna Dal (S), etc feel that in the event of coalition government, which is likely, they may get a chance to be ministers.
Those denied and had worked long in the party may have sympathy ripples, if not wave, which can impact the official candidates. While going around there is a palpable feeling of hurt in many areas with long time party members being denied tickets and giving to newcomers. Quite a few voters which this writer spoke to felt happy that a few chronic party hoppers were denied tickets and this should be a lesson to all of them in the future.